Tails You Win: The Science of Chance

Tails You Win: The Science of Chance


Are you anxious to know the odds of your dying today? This engaging documentary on the mysterious workings of chance and the maths of probability will tell you – one in a million, if you’re really curious. Even if you just want to know if it’s going to rain the minute you step outside, it can help with that, too.

Avuncular Professor David Spiegelhalter uses a series of fun examples – going skydiving, reading the “most boring book in the world” – to bring to life how humans learnt about chance, tried to conquer it and predict the future. It’s probably worth watching.


Professor David Spiegelhalter tries to get to grips with chance and how it works. He tackles such questions as whether people are wise to take an umbrella when they go out, to ways of maximising the chances of living to 100, as he tries to establish if luck and fate are embedded in the fabric of the universe. Along the way, he discovers hidden patterns and shapes in a book written exclusively with numbers and explains why going sky-diving only marginally increases his risk of dying sooner rather than later.

Cast & Crew

Presenter David Spiegelhalter
Director Dan Hillman
Executive Producer Archie Baron
Producer Dan Hillman