Strictly Come Dancing 2014: Can maths predict the winner?

We use the power of numbers to work out who might make it to this year's final and which of the remaining six celebs could get their hands on the Strictly glitterball...


There are just three weeks left of Strictly Come Dancing 2014. We’ve been having fun and time has, predictably, flown. We have one week of live performances left before the remaining waltzers and foxtrotters face each other in the Strictly semi-finals. It’s time for those sequins to get serious. 


But with each of the remaining dancers having experienced their fair share of high scores and wobbly weeks, it seems as though there really is no front runner. One moment we think Jake’s snake hips have it in the bag and the next Craig is calling him a disaaaaaaster. Caroline has both topped the leaderboard and found herself in the bottom two. It’s simply impossible to work out who’s got the moves to make it to the final…

Or is it? We’ve whipped out our calculators and decided to use MATHS to find out who the winner might be, adding together our six contestants’ total scores over the course of the series then dividing by the number of dances (phew…)

Here’s what we discovered:

Pixie Lott

27 + 35 + 43 + 32 + 35 + 33 + 36 + 38 + 37 + 38 = 354

Average score per dance: 35. 4

According to our good friend The Calculator, Pixie Lott should be this year’s winner. The Mama Do singer has the highest average score, at a very respectable 35.4, and has bagged the most points so far this year. Although her first score came in under 30 she’s not dipped that low since. In fact, she’s kept above 35 in the last four weeks. AND she’s stayed safe from the dreaded dance off so far. She’ll be in the final. We’d bet our fake tan tokens on it. 

Frankie Bridge

30 + 30 + 45 + 32 + 32 + 37 + 32 + 37 + 38 + 36 = 349

Average score per dance: 34.9

It’s a close call between Pixie and Frankie. There’s only 0.5 points between them (in layman’s terms, that’s just half a point). The Saturdays star has impressed the viewers and the judges from week one, starting her journey with an enviable 30 points. She was the first to bag a 10 from Len too, but maths don’t lie, Pixie’s accumulated more points. It is worth noting, though, that Frankie has never – we repeat, never – had a score lower than 30. Fab-u-lous. 

Caroline Flack

27 + 29 + 42 + 33 + 34 + 32 + 31 + 37 + 33 + 39 = 337

Average score per dance: 33.7

Could we have another all-female final three? The numbers certainly think so. Caroline Flack seems less consistent than natural performers Pixie and Frankie, though there’s no doubt she’s been on more of a journey. The former Xtra Factor presenter has also had the highest score of the series so far, so if you rely on numerics she’s the closest to reaching that all-important 4-0. If she can achieve that, the glitterball is hers for the taking. 

Jake Wood

28 + 35 + 40 + 33 + 31 + 29 + 27 + 36 + 38 + 29 = 326

Average score per dance: 32.6

Jake ‘snake hips’ Wood has had a few ups and downs recently. But when it comes to the cold, hard statistics he’s still beating his fellow male contestants. From week nine’s high-scoring Samba to his slightly lack-lustre Argentine Tango on Saturday’s show, we’re never 100% sure what we’re going to get from the EastEnders star. Looking at numbers alone, he should come in at a very respectable fourth. 

Simon Webbe

27 + 26 + 30 + 31 + 28 + 29 + 33 + 38 + 36 + 38 = 316

Average score per dance: 31.6

When everything’s added and divided, it looks like Blue singer Simon Webbe is set to just miss out on making it to the climax of Strictly Come Dancing. Though he’s been a strong performer throughout, he has been in the bottom two twice and his average score is much closer to 30 than the coveted full marks. When it comes to the last spot in the semi-final, maths would say it’s between Simon and Mark. And with just 0.2 points between them, it’s all to dance for this Saturday… 

Mark Wright

24 + 27 + 35 + 29 + 33 + 35 + 31 + 36 + 32 + 32 = 314

Average score per dance: 31.4

He might have been known as Marky No-Moves at the start of the competition, but former-TOWIE star Mark Wright has proved he has what it takes to impress on the dance floor. He might be coming last on the average score front –he’s yet to get higher than a 36 – but he’s actually had fewer scores in the 20s than Simon Webbe and Jake Wood. It’s looking unlikely that he’ll make it to the final, but with consistency on his side he might be able to keep his spot in the competition a little longer… 


Strictly Come Dancing continues on Saturday at 7:00pm on BBC1