You can do your own Eurozone austerity/bailout jokes – Greece will play in a new kit paid for by the Germans, but which has been made out of sandpaper and is two sizes too small; the Germans will aim at a goal the width of the pitch, but the Greeks have to score by hitting an olive on a cocktail stick in Row M of the stand; all training pitches in Greece are henceforth to be converted into pork farms manufacturing Bratwurst; etc etc blah blah. Forget all that. This will be a fascinating game of football in its own right.

Germany, for my euros, are the most impressive team at the tournament so far, having edged past what's turned out to be a rock-solid Portugal side and largely humiliated the Dutch. They scored a third win against Denmark despite, in the words of Lee Dixon, "having a cigar on". They're in control at the back, Schweinsteiger/Khedira form the perfect fluid, double-pivot midfield, and in central winger Mesut Ozil they boast a creative attacker who might even be better than any Spaniard.

However. After a poor start for the Greeks - dogged by disorganisation, injury, bans and missed chances - their shock 1-0 win against Russia had terrifying echoes of 2004, when Greece ground their way to the trophy. Greece nicked a goal, then stood on their own six-yard line and said, to a team who previously had looked brilliant going forward: "Come on then." Russia looked less and less likely to score as the second half wore on. Out they went.

Greece will find it hard to trouble the Germans, especially without captain Giorgios Karagounis, who scored against Russia and takes the Greeks' set pieces, but is now suspended. So another upset is surely beyond them. Or is it? Yes, it is. Or is it?

KEY PLAYER: Thomas Muller, the star of the 2010 World Cup, has been quiet in Poland and Ukraine so far but could be important tonight. Greece nearly lost against Poland, and did lose against the Czech Republic, because they were weak down their left side. Muller attacks down the right for the Germans, often in concert with Mesut Ozil who tends to drift that way. 

PREDICTION: Depends when Germany score. If it's early it could be four or five. If the Greeks score first, who knows… but we'll say 3-0 Germany.